{"id":2107,"date":"2013-09-25T03:00:00","date_gmt":"2013-09-25T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/92.45.35.169\/sihirli-kure-3-0\/"},"modified":"2024-07-03T14:52:50","modified_gmt":"2024-07-03T11:52:50","slug":"sihirli-kure-3-0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.kariyer.net\/kariyer-rehberi\/sihirli-kure-3-0\/","title":{"rendered":"Sihirli K\u00fcre 3.0"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"muratyesildere\"<\/a>\u00dczerinde ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z gezegenin bir milyar n\u00fcfusa ula\u015fmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ge\u00e7en s\u00fcrenin yakla\u015f\u0131k 64 bin y\u0131l oldu\u011fu tahmin ediliyor. Pekiyi ya d\u00fcnya? On binlerce y\u0131ld\u0131r insanl\u0131\u011fa ev sahipli\u011fi yapan \u201csihirli k\u00fcre\u201dnin istiab\u0131 nedir acaba?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cArkalara ilerleyelim, bo\u015fluklar\u0131 doldural\u0131m\u201d c\u00fcmlesini toplu ta\u015f\u0131ma ara\u00e7lar\u0131ndan hepimiz hat\u0131rlar\u0131z. Ara\u00e7 s\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn dikiz aynas\u0131ndan arkaya dahi bakmadan, ezberden s\u00f6yledi\u011fi bu c\u00fcmle sayesinde minib\u00fcsler, otob\u00fcsler \u201cistiap haddinde\u201d veya \u00fczerinde doluluk ile seyahatlerini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrler. Pekiyi ya d\u00fcnya? Evet on binlerce y\u0131ld\u0131r insanl\u0131\u011fa ev sahipli\u011fi yapan \u201csihirli k\u00fcre\u201dnin istiab\u0131 nedir acaba?<\/p>\n

\u00dczerinde ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z gezegenin bir milyar n\u00fcfusa ula\u015fmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ge\u00e7en s\u00fcrenin yakla\u015f\u0131k 64 bin y\u0131l oldu\u011fu tahmin ediliyor; 1820 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya 1 milyar n\u00fcfus s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7mi\u015f! \u0130kinci milyara ula\u015fmak ise \u00e7ok daha k\u0131sa s\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015f; 106 y\u0131l sonra 1926 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusu iki milyar s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7mi\u015f. \u00dc\u00e7 milyar n\u00fcfusa ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in ise sadece 34 y\u0131l gerekmi\u015f; 1960 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusu 3 milyara ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f. Sadece 15 y\u0131l sonra, 1975 y\u0131l\u0131nda 4 milyar ve 13 y\u0131l sonra 1988 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise be\u015f milyar n\u00fcfusa ula\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f. D\u00fcnyada ya\u015fayan insan say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131 milyara 2000 y\u0131l\u0131nda ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, e\u011fer n\u00fcfus bu h\u0131zla artmaya devam ederse 2300 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusunun 135 milyar\u0131 zorlayaca\u011f\u0131 iddia ediliyor; ku\u015fkusuz sadece iddia. Ancak son y\u0131llarda n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015flamas\u0131 ile birlikte 9 ile 10 milyar aras\u0131nda bir n\u00fcfusa ancak 2100 y\u0131l\u0131nda ula\u015f\u0131labilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Yani \u015fimdilik artan n\u00fcfus dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u201comuz omuza\u201d ya\u015fama endi\u015fesinden kendimizi kurtarabiliriz!<\/strong><\/p>\n

N\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015flamas\u0131na sebep olan unsurlar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda e\u011fitim seviyesinin y\u00fckselmesi geliyor. \u00d6zellikle k\u0131rsal kesimden, \u015fehre g\u00f6\u00e7\u00fcn de artmas\u0131na paralel olarak, aileler daha az \u00e7ocuk sahibi olma e\u011filiminde olabiliyor. Bunun yan\u0131nda art\u0131k k\u00fcresel ekonomide hayat\u0131n par\u00e7as\u0131 haline gelen ekonomik krizlerin de \u00e7ocuk yapma motivasyonunu olumsuz etkiledi\u011fi g\u00f6zlemleniyor. Ekonomik krizlerde evli \u00e7iftler aras\u0131ndaki ya\u015f fark\u0131n\u0131n da artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n tespit edilmesi, ilgin\u00e7 bir istatistik olarak kayda ge\u00e7iyor. \u201cD\u00fcnyaya s\u0131\u011f\u0131yor\u201d olmak sadece bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7; bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fi sonunda Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler\u2019in yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cgeli\u015fim raporu\u201d kalitatif olarak da \u00fcmit dolu verilere sahip. \u00d6rne\u011fin, so\u011fuk sava\u015f y\u0131llar\u0131nda se\u00e7im sistemine dayal\u0131 demokrasiyle y\u00f6netilen \u00fclke say\u0131s\u0131 sadece 70 iken, aradan ge\u00e7en 25 y\u0131lda bu say\u0131 120\u2019ye yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015f. \u201cSe\u00e7im sistemi ve demokrasi her \u015fey de\u011fil ki\u201d diyenleri duyabiliyorum ve hakl\u0131lar! Ama iyi bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 noktas\u0131 oldu\u011funu da inkar etmemek laz\u0131m.<\/p>\n

Ekonomik verilerde de b\u00fcy\u00fck bir geli\u015fme var; seksenli y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerdeki n\u00fcfusun yar\u0131s\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131 g\u00fcnde 1.25 dolarla hayatta kalmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, bug\u00fcn bu en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli kesimin toplam n\u00fcfusun alt\u0131da birine kadar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc tahmin ediliyor. D\u00fcnyada birey ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen ortalama gelir on bin dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. <\/strong><\/p>\n

D\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u201corta dire\u011fi\u201d olarak tan\u0131mlanabilecek olan orta gelirli kesimin, orta s\u0131n\u0131f\u0131n giderek g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fi g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. \u201cOrta s\u0131n\u0131f\u201d, harcanabilir geliri, toplam gelirinin y\u00fczde 30\u2019u ve \u00fcst\u00fcnde olan bireyler olarak tan\u0131mland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda McKinsey&Co. Dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k Firmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k 2 milyar ki\u015fiyi orta s\u0131n\u0131fa dahil etmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn; daha da \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 2020\u2019ye kadar bu rakam\u0131n 3.25 milyara ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor. Orta s\u0131n\u0131f \u00fcyelerinin ortak \u00f6zellikleri; refah seviyelerindeki art\u0131\u015fa paralel olarak ekonomik, siyasi, sosyo – k\u00fclt\u00fcrel beklentilerinin de y\u00fckseliyor olmas\u0131.<\/p>\n

1970\u2019li y\u0131llarda binde 141 olan \u00e7ocuk \u00f6l\u00fcmleri, k\u0131rk y\u0131lda yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya azalarak binde 57\u2019ye kadar d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f. T\u00fcberk\u00fcloza, AIDS\u2019e, hatta kansere dahi \u00e7are yaratmaya yak\u0131nla\u015fan sa\u011fl\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fc sayesinde ortalama insan \u00f6mr\u00fc her sene yakla\u015f\u0131k alt\u0131 ay uzuyor.<\/p>\n

Listeyi daha da uzatmam m\u00fcmk\u00fcn; ortalama e\u011fitim s\u00fcresinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, teknolojinin s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131n zorlanmas\u0131 sonucunda ileti\u015fim a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan d\u00fcnyan\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u00f6y haline gelmesini ve daha nicelerini size hat\u0131rlatabilirim.<\/strong>Ancak zor ve \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtmacal\u0131 soruyu sona saklad\u0131m; b\u00fct\u00fcn bu de\u011fi\u015fime, geli\u015fime ra\u011fmen acaba insano\u011flu on bin, bin, y\u00fcz, hatta bir y\u0131l \u00f6nce oldu\u011fundan daha mutlu mu? Cevaplar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 merak etmekle birlikte, tahmin edebiliyorum. Hepimizin beklentileri o kadar y\u00fckseldi ki, hep daha fazlas\u0131n\u0131 ve iyisini ar\u0131yoruz, kendimiz, ailemiz, sevdiklerimiz, \u00fclkemiz ve d\u00fcnya i\u00e7in\u2026 Bu \u201csa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 rahats\u0131zl\u0131k\u201d da geli\u015fmenin devam etmesini, s\u00fcreklili\u011fini sa\u011fl\u0131yor, ama arada bir de, bir ad\u0131m geri \u00e7ekilip, sahip olduklar\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7in moral depolay\u0131p, kutlamak isterseniz, bence hi\u00e7 mahsuru yok! <\/strong><\/p>\n\n

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\u00dczerinde ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z gezegenin bir milyar n\u00fcfusa ula\u015fmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ge\u00e7en s\u00fcrenin yakla\u015f\u0131k 64 bin y\u0131l oldu\u011fu tahmin ediliyor. Pekiyi ya d\u00fcnya? On binlerce y\u0131ld\u0131r insanl\u0131\u011fa ev sahipli\u011fi yapan \u201csihirli k\u00fcre\u201dnin istiab\u0131 nedir acaba? \u201cArkalara ilerleyelim, bo\u015fluklar\u0131 doldural\u0131m\u201d c\u00fcmlesini toplu ta\u015f\u0131ma ara\u00e7lar\u0131ndan hepimiz hat\u0131rlar\u0131z. Ara\u00e7 s\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn dikiz aynas\u0131ndan arkaya dahi bakmadan, ezberden s\u00f6yledi\u011fi bu c\u00fcmle sayesinde minib\u00fcsler, […]<\/p>\n\n

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Pekiyi ya d\u00fcnya? 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