{"id":1093,"date":"2023-08-03T10:18:05","date_gmt":"2023-08-03T10:18:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kariyer.net\/universite-rehberi-blog\/?p=1093"},"modified":"2023-08-07T15:25:04","modified_gmt":"2023-08-07T15:25:04","slug":"2023-yks-tercih-degerlendirmesi-yks-basari-siralamalari-ve-kontenjanlar-nasil-degisiyor-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.kariyer.net\/universite-rehberi-blog\/2023-yks-tercih-degerlendirmesi-yks-basari-siralamalari-ve-kontenjanlar-nasil-degisiyor-2\/","title":{"rendered":"2023 YKS tercih de\u011ferlendirmesi: 2023 YKS ba\u015far\u0131 s\u0131ralamalar\u0131 ve kontenjanlar nas\u0131l de\u011fi\u015fiyor?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Psikolog ve E\u011fitim Uzman\u0131 Salim \u00dcnsal; 2023 YKS tercihleri i\u00e7in ba\u015far\u0131 s\u0131ralamalar\u0131 ve b\u00f6l\u00fcm kontenjanlar\u0131na dair p\u00fcf noktalar\u0131 senin i\u00e7in payla\u015ft\u0131.<\/strong> \u0130stedi\u011fin b\u00f6l\u00fcme yerle\u015fme ihtimalini art\u0131rmak ve do\u011fru bir tercih listesi haz\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in Salim \u00dcnsal’\u0131n de\u011ferlendirme ve \u00f6nerilerine g\u00f6z at!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2023 YKS\u2019de yerle\u015fme ihtimalin artt\u0131 m\u0131 yoksa azald\u0131 m\u0131?<\/strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Bir taraftan tercihlerini yaparken di\u011fer yandan \u00fcniversitelerin ve programlar\u0131n nas\u0131l bir doluluk oran\u0131na ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve b\u00f6l\u00fcmlere giri\u015fte \u00fcniversitelerin en son hangi s\u0131ralamadaki adaylarla kontenjanlar\u0131n\u0131 dolduraca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 merak ediyor olabilirsin. Bu yaz\u0131m\u0131zda 2023 YKS tercih d\u00f6nemi i\u00e7in ba\u015far\u0131 s\u0131ralamalar\u0131 ve programlar\u0131n olas\u0131 doluluklar\u0131n\u0131, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda ya\u015fanan s\u00fcre\u00e7lere g\u00f6re \u00f6zetlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131m. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Taban puan ve ba\u015far\u0131 s\u0131ralamalar\u0131 nas\u0131l de\u011fi\u0307\u015fi\u0307<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>r?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Bir program\u0131n y\u00fczde y\u00fcz hangi s\u0131ralamadan \u00f6\u011frenci alaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etmek elbette m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. Her y\u0131l s\u0131nav farkl\u0131, sonu\u00e7lar farkl\u0131, aday say\u0131s\u0131 ve aday ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 farkl\u0131, bir de \u00fcniversite kontenjanlar\u0131 farkl\u0131 olunca olas\u0131 taban s\u0131ralamalar\u0131n da t\u00fcm bu farkl\u0131l\u0131klardan etkilenmemesi imkans\u0131z.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn ba\u015far\u0131 s\u0131ralamas\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftiren en temel \u00fc\u00e7 kriter var: Bunlar\u0131n bir tanesi sen ve senin gibi \u00fcniversite tercihi yapacak adaylar\u0131n y\u00f6nelimlerindeki de\u011fi\u015fimler, ikincisi sosyo-ekonomik olarak b\u00f6l\u00fcme olan toplumsal talepte ya\u015fanan de\u011fi\u015fim, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc ise b\u00f6l\u00fcm i\u00e7in sunulan kontenjanlar\u0131n artmas\u0131 ya da azalmas\u0131. Bu \u00fc\u00e7 fakt\u00f6r bir y\u0131ldan di\u011fer y\u0131la ne kadar benziyorsa, puan ve s\u0131ralamalar o kadar yak\u0131n, ne kadar de\u011fi\u015fiyorsa, puan ve s\u0131ralamalar da o kadar farkl\u0131 olabiliyor.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Devlet \u00fcni\u0307versi\u0307teleri\u0307nde nas\u0131l bir kontenjan de\u011fi\u0307\u015fi\u0307mi oldu?<\/strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6ncelikle 2022’den 2023’e kontenjanlarda bir farkl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na bakal\u0131m. Lisans programlar\u0131na devlet \u00fcniversitelerinde ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 394 bin 838 kontenjan ayr\u0131lm\u0131\u015fken, bu y\u0131l k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015fla bu say\u0131 395 bin 532’ye y\u00fckseldi. Yani binde 18’lik bir avantaj\u0131n\u0131z var. Yine devlet \u00fcniversitesi \u00f6nlisans programlar\u0131nda ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 415 bin 764 kontenjan ayr\u0131lm\u0131\u015fken bu sene y\u00fczde 1,1’lik bir art\u0131\u015fla kontenjanlar 420 bin 332’ye y\u00fckseldi. \u0130ki y\u0131ll\u0131k bu de\u011fi\u015fim taban puanlar\u0131 ve ba\u015far\u0131 \u00a0<\/s>s\u0131ralamalar\u0131nda hissedilir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik yaratacak nicelikte de\u011fil. Bu senin a\u00e7\u0131ndan olumlu bir durum. \u00dcniversiteye al\u0131nacak her 100 \u00f6\u011frencinin 80’inin devlet \u00fcniversitelerine al\u0131nacak olmas\u0131 yerle\u015fmede b\u00fcy\u00fck s\u00fcrprizlerin ya\u015fanmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n da bir i\u015fareti. Burada durum g\u00fczel.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vakif \u00fcniversitelerinde kontenjanlar nas\u0131l de\u011fi\u0307\u015f<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>ti?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Vak\u0131f \u00fcniversiteleri ise ge\u00e7en y\u0131l lisans programlar\u0131na 89 bin 726 kontenjan ay\u0131rm\u0131\u015fken bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 9,8’lik bir art\u0131\u015fla kontenjan\u0131n\u0131 98 bin 523’e \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda vak\u0131f \u00fcniversitelerinin lisans programlar\u0131na giri\u015fi keyifli hale getirecek bir durum bu. \u00d6n lisanslarda da y\u00fczde 3,5’lik bir art\u0131\u015f var. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 79 bin 968 olan \u00f6n lisans kontenjan\u0131 bu y\u0131l 82 bin 771’e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu da yerle\u015fme \u015fans\u0131 bak\u0131m\u0131ndan az da olsa iyi bir durum. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rekabet artt\u0131 m\u0131 yoksa azald\u0131 m\u0131?<\/strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Peki, senin i\u00e7in haz\u0131rlanan akademik koltuk say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7en y\u0131ldan bu y\u0131la olumlu y\u00f6nde artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Peki rakiplerin ne durumda? Rakiplerin, yani seninle birlikte tercih yapacak akranlar\u0131n \u00e7ok de\u011fi\u015fti mi? Hay\u0131r. Hatta 2 milyon 911 binden 2 milyon 895 bine d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Burada da durum az da olsa olumlu y\u00f6nde.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu y\u0131l b\u00f6l\u00fcmlere yerle\u015fmek daha m\u0131 kolay?<\/strong>\u00a0<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

O halde de\u011fi\u015fiklik ve trafik yaratacak bu iki temel fakt\u00f6r bu y\u0131l lehine ise b\u00f6l\u00fcmlere yerle\u015fmek bu sene daha m\u0131 kolay olacak? Mant\u0131ksal olarak evet. Belki b\u00f6l\u00fcmlerin tamam\u0131nda de\u011fil ama b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funa giri\u015f bu y\u0131l daha kolay olabilecek. Taban puan ve ba\u015far\u0131 s\u0131ralamalar\u0131nda y\u00f6nelim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olan ve kontenjan\u0131 azalan baz\u0131 programlar\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki t\u00fcm b\u00f6l\u00fcmlerde \u00e7ok daha kolay yerle\u015febilece\u011fin bir de\u011fere eri\u015febilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hangi puan t\u00fcrleri daha \u015fansl<\/strong>\u0131?\u00a0<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Kontenjan toplamlar\u0131 itibar\u0131yla \u015fans\u0131n s\u00f6zelde y\u00fczde 1,2; say\u0131salda y\u00fczde 2,2; e\u015fit a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kta y\u00fczde 2,7 ve dilde de y\u00fczde 2,6 oran\u0131nda artm\u0131\u015fa benziyor. Elbette puanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek, s\u0131ralamalar\u0131n en \u00f6nde oldu\u011fu programlar i\u00e7in bu oranlar\u0131 do\u011frudan yorumlayamasak da daha alt puan ve s\u0131ralara do\u011fru bu oranlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi olas\u0131.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu y\u0131l\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck riski nedir?<\/strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Taban puanlar\u0131n\u0131 ve ba\u015far\u0131 s\u0131ralamalar\u0131n\u0131 bu y\u0131l en \u00e7ok etkileyecek bir ba\u015fka etken ise \u015fu: 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda adaylar tercih yaparken 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00e7o\u011fu b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn taban puan\u0131 ve ba\u015far\u0131 s\u0131ralamas\u0131 olu\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in daha bilin\u00e7siz tercihler yapt\u0131 ve baz\u0131 adaylar s\u0131ralamas\u0131na uygun tercihler yapamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda baz\u0131 b\u00f6l\u00fcmlerin puan ve s\u0131ralama de\u011ferleri olmas\u0131 gereken rasyonel de\u011ferlerin alt\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Oysa bu y\u0131l k\u0131lavuzdaki \u00e7o\u011fu program\u0131n e\u011fer yeni a\u00e7\u0131lmam\u0131\u015fsa ve ge\u00e7en y\u0131l bo\u015f kontenjan\u0131 kalmam\u0131\u015fsa bir puan\u0131 ve s\u0131ras\u0131 var. Yani 2023’te adaylar daha kendilerine uygun se\u00e7imler yapacaklar\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00f6l\u00fcmlerin y\u00f6nelimleri de dengeli da\u011f\u0131lacak ve bu durum \u00fcst dilimlerdeki pop\u00fcler \u00fcniversite ve b\u00f6l\u00fcmlerde de\u011fil ama alt dilimlerdeki \u00fcniversite ve b\u00f6l\u00fcmlerde biraz trafik olu\u015fturabilir ve taban puanlar\u0131 biraz art\u0131rabilir. Bunun olumsuz etkisinden kurtulman\u0131n yolu da tercihlerinin alt s\u0131ras\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturacak b\u00f6l\u00fcmleri inebilece\u011fin en alt s\u0131radaki b\u00f6l\u00fcmlerden se\u00e7men. Bunu yaparsan a\u00e7\u0131kta kalma veya olas\u0131 bir y\u00fckselmeden etkilenme riskini de en aza indirgemi\u015f olacaks\u0131n. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hangi b\u00f6l\u00fcmlere yerle\u015fmede risk artt\u0131?<\/strong>\u00a0<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Kontenjan eksilmesi nedeniyle 2023 YKS tercih s\u00fcrecinin en riskli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc Mimarl\u0131k ve Hukuk. Bu iki b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc \u0130n\u015faat M\u00fchendisli\u011fi, Makine M\u00fchendisli\u011fi, Rehberlik ve Psikolojik Dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k takip ediyor. Mimarl\u0131k zaten 250 bin s\u0131ralama gerektiren bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm oldu\u011fu ve son y\u0131llarda baz\u0131 devlet \u00fcniversiteleri de dahil kontenjan\u0131n\u0131 tam dolduramad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in kontenjan\u0131 bin 651 kadar azalt\u0131ld\u0131. Bu azalma birka\u00e7 vak\u0131f \u00fcniversitesi hari\u00e7 t\u00fcm devlet \u00fcniversitelerinde taban puan ve s\u0131ralama y\u00fckselmesinin i\u015fareti olabilir. Mimarl\u0131\u011fa dikkat, temkini elden b\u0131rakmay\u0131n.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130n\u015faat m\u00fchendisli\u011fi de sekt\u00f6rel krizden etkilendi\u011fi i\u00e7in son y\u0131llar\u0131n en bo\u015f kalan m\u00fchendisliklerinden biriydi. Onda da kontenjan\u0131n 907 adet azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz, ama hala trend bir m\u00fchendislik olabilmi\u015f de\u011fil ve taban de\u011ferlerinde b\u00fcy\u00fck farkl\u0131l\u0131klar beklemiyoruz. \u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Makine M\u00fchendisli\u011fi birka\u00e7 y\u0131ll\u0131k dura\u011fanl\u0131\u011f\u0131na kontenjanlar\u0131n\u0131n 446’s\u0131n\u0131 kaybetti\u011fi bu y\u0131ldan itibaren son verebilir ve puanlar\u0131 y\u00fckselebilir. Makine M\u00fchendisli\u011fi i\u00e7in de temkinli tercihler yapman\u0131 \u00f6neririz.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hukuk i\u00e7in zor bir y\u0131l<\/strong>\u00a0<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Bu kategoride en kritik b\u00f6l\u00fcm ise Hukuk. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131ldan bin 64 \u00f6\u011frenci daha az al\u0131nacak. Bunun da 951’i devlet \u00fcniversitelerinde. Bu demektir ki Hukuk se\u00e7ecek \u00f6\u011frenciler, \u00f6zellikle devlet \u00fcniversitelerinde Hukuk se\u00e7ecekse; ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki ba\u015far\u0131 s\u0131ralamalar\u0131na \u00e7ok g\u00fcvenmemeli. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l son Hukuk program\u0131na 58 binlik adaylar yerle\u015fmi\u015fken, bu y\u0131l bu de\u011ferlerin 40 binli s\u0131ralarda noktalanmas\u0131 s\u00fcrpriz olmayabilir. Hukuktaki kontenjan azalma bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azaltacak tek etken ise e\u015fit a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 \u00f6\u011frenci tercih e\u011filimlerinin Hukuk’tan Y\u00f6netim Bili\u015fim Sistemleri\u2019ne kaymas\u0131 olabilir. Merakla bekleyece\u011fimiz bir durum bu. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Daha \u00e7ok ilgi g\u00f6sterilen b\u00f6l\u00fcmler hangi\u0307leri<\/strong>?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Birka\u00e7 y\u0131ld\u0131r \u00f6\u011frenci ilgisinin oda\u011f\u0131na oturan bili\u015fim m\u00fchendislikleri ise yine g\u00f6zde programlar olmaya devam ediyor. O m\u00fchendisliklerde de yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc puan ve ba\u015far\u0131 s\u0131ralamas\u0131 hareketlilikleri ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131z. Bilgisayar<\/a>, Yaz\u0131l\u0131m, Yapay Zek\u00e2, k\u0131smen End\u00fcstri<\/a> ve Elektrik-Elektronik M\u00fchendisliklerine ilgide hissedilir art\u0131\u015f devam ediyor. Bu b\u00f6l\u00fcmleri se\u00e7erken de 2022 s\u0131ralamalar\u0131na \u00e7ok g\u00fcvenmemeli ve temkini elden b\u0131rakmamal\u0131s\u0131n. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sa\u011fl\u0131k bilimlerinde seni ne bekliyor?<\/strong>\u00a0<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Sa\u011fl\u0131k bilimlerine olan ilgi bili\u015fim m\u00fchendisliklerindeki ilgi art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan sonra biraz azald\u0131. \u00d6te yandan hekim ve sa\u011fl\u0131k \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma ve ekonomik ko\u015fullar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda medyaya yans\u0131yan haberlerin de bu ilgi azalmas\u0131nda etkili oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. Bu nedenle T\u0131p, Di\u015f hekimli\u011fi, Eczac\u0131l\u0131k, Beslenme ve Diyetetik ile Fizyoterapi gibi dallarda y\u00fckselmeler beklemiyoruz. Hatta baz\u0131lar\u0131nda 2023 tercihlerine g\u00f6re d\u00fc\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131rsa s\u00fcrpriz olmaz. Sa\u011fl\u0131k alan\u0131nda bu y\u0131l Dil ve Konu\u015fma Terapisi program\u0131 daha \u00e7ok aday\u0131n dikkatini \u00e7ekmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Hem\u015firelik ve Ebelik gibi b\u00f6l\u00fcmlere olan ilgide ise hala bir art\u0131\u015f var. Bu iki b\u00f6l\u00fcm i\u00e7in temkinli tercih yine \u00f6nemli. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vak\u0131f \u00fcniversitelerinde \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 belirleyici olabilir<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Son olarak vak\u0131f \u00fcniversiteleri tercihlerine ili\u015fkin bir bilgi vereyim. Vak\u0131f tercihleri programlar\u0131n \u00fccretlerinin eri\u015filebilir ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmas\u0131ndan do\u011frudan etkilenir. Bu y\u0131l ortalama y\u00fczde 120 \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131na gitmeleri vak\u0131f \u00fcniversitelerinin \u00fccretli ve y\u00fczde 50 indirimli b\u00f6l\u00fcmlerinin doluluk oranlar\u0131na olumsuz yans\u0131yabilir. \u00dccreti ne olursa olsun nitelik s\u0131ralamas\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst diliminde yer alan vak\u0131f \u00fcniversiteleri bundan \u00e7ok etkilenmese de, niteli\u011fi nispeten d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck vak\u0131f \u00fcniversitelerinin y\u00fcksek \u00fccretli programlar\u0131nda kendine yer bulman bu y\u0131l \u00e7ok daha kolay olabilir. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Farkl\u0131 il tercihleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filiminde<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6te yandan ekonomik sebepler farkl\u0131 kente \u00f6\u011frenci g\u00f6\u00e7\u00fcn\u00fc etkileyen unsurlardan biri. Ya\u015fanan ekonomik durum \u00f6\u011frencilerin “farkl\u0131 kentlere gitmektense kendi ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m kentteki \u00fcniversitede okuyay\u0131m” d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesini destekleyebilir. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ilk kez \u00f6\u011frenciler daha fazla say\u0131da kendi illerinde kalm\u0131\u015flard\u0131. 2023 YKS tercih ve yerle\u015ftirme sonucunda da benzer tablonun daha derinle\u015fmesini bekliyoruz. Bu durum \u00fcniversitelerin daha fazla say\u0131da yerel \u00f6\u011frencilerle kontenjan\u0131n\u0131 dolduraca\u011f\u0131 sonucunu do\u011furabilir.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yelpazeni\u0307 geni\u015f tut, kritik b\u00f6l\u00fcmler hari\u00e7 az sorun ya\u015fayacaks\u0131n<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

G\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn gibi bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn taban puan\u0131n\u0131n ve ba\u015far\u0131 s\u0131ralamas\u0131n\u0131n<\/a> olu\u015fumunda onlarca hatta y\u00fczlerce fakt\u00f6r var. Bu y\u00fczden tercihlerini dar bir puan ve s\u0131ralama skalas\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmadan daha geni\u015f bir yelpazeden yapman yerle\u015fme ihtimalini art\u0131racak. Listen s\u0131ralama bak\u0131m\u0131ndan derinlikli olursa 2023 YKS tercih s\u00fcrecinde yerle\u015fme ihtimalin de y\u00fckselecek. Unutma…\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Konuk Yazar: Salim \u00dcnsal<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Psikolog & E\u011fitim Uzman\u0131<\/h3>\n\n
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Psikolog ve E\u011fitim Uzman\u0131 Salim \u00dcnsal; 2023 YKS tercihleri i\u00e7in ba\u015far\u0131 s\u0131ralamalar\u0131 ve b\u00f6l\u00fcm kontenjanlar\u0131na dair p\u00fcf noktalar\u0131 senin i\u00e7in payla\u015ft\u0131. \u0130stedi\u011fin b\u00f6l\u00fcme yerle\u015fme ihtimalini art\u0131rmak ve do\u011fru bir tercih listesi haz\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in Salim \u00dcnsal’\u0131n de\u011ferlendirme ve \u00f6nerilerine g\u00f6z at! 2023 YKS\u2019de yerle\u015fme ihtimalin artt\u0131 m\u0131 yoksa azald\u0131 m\u0131?\u00a0 Bir taraftan tercihlerini yaparken di\u011fer yandan […]<\/p>\n\n

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